Blog Archive

Monday, February 23, 2026

2-23-2026 monday 339$


🔴 1. Price Action (Main Chart)



  • Current price: 680.94
  • Down about -1.23%
  • Multiple large red candles
  • Price moving inside a descending channel



What this means:


  • Sellers are in control.
  • Each bounce is weak and making lower highs.
  • Candles are closing near their lows → strong bearish pressure.



This is not sideways. This is active selling momentum.





📉 2. Trend Structure



You can see:


  • Lower high → lower low → lower high → lower low
  • Price riding the bottom of the channel



This confirms:

➡️ Bearish intraday structure

➡️ Momentum continuation down





📊 3. Wave Trend Indicator (Bottom)



  • Values around -53 to -60
  • Histogram still red
  • No strong bullish divergence visible yet



This tells us:


  • Market is oversold but still weak
  • No confirmed reversal signal yet
  • Selling pressure is still active



Oversold does NOT mean buy immediately.

It can stay oversold in strong trends.





⚠️ 4. What This Means for Trading



If you’re thinking:



🟢 Calls?


Not ideal right now.

You would be trading against momentum.



🔴 Puts?


Trend-following side is bearish.

But:


  • It’s already extended.
  • Risk of short bounce (dead cat bounce) exists.



Best setups usually come on:


  • Break → Retest → Rejection
  • Or bounce to VWAP / EMA and fail






🎯 Key Levels to Watch



  • 681.75–682 area → resistance (recent breakdown area)
  • 680 area → psychological level
  • If 680 breaks cleanly → continuation possible






🧠 My Simple Read



This is:


  • Strong intraday bearish trend
  • Momentum controlled by sellers
  • No clear reversal yet



If you trade options:


  • Wait for pullback before puts
  • Don’t chase extended candles
  • Watch volume and structure



 

No comments:

Post a Comment