Blog Archive

Saturday, February 7, 2026

 ✅ Phase 1 — Lesson 1: Win Rate + Risk/Reward + Expected Value (EV)

1) Win Rate


This is simple:


Win Rate = (Number of winning trades ÷ Total trades) × 100


Example:

If you win 6 trades out of 10 trades → 60% win rate

2) Risk/Reward (R:R)


This means:


How much you risk vs how much you can gain


Example:


You risk $50


You try to make $100


That is: 1 : 2 (risk 1, reward 2)

3) Expected Value (EV)

This is the MOST important thing in trading.

Formula:

EV = (Win% × Avg Win) − (Loss% × Avg Loss)