Got you. Here’s a simple, step-by-step read of your FFAI chart and what the MAs mean.
1) What price just did (1-week view)
-
Early week: quick drop → made a low near $2.21–$2.23.
-
Then a steady rebound into $2.42–$2.46.
-
Latest candles: pullback to about $2.29 and moving sideways.
2) Support & resistance zones (from the picture)
-
Support (buyers step in):
-
$2.28–$2.30 → current base where price is sitting.
-
$2.21–$2.23 → recent swing low. Stronger support below.
-
Psychological $2.00 (big round number).
-
-
Resistance (sellers show up):
-
$2.34–$2.36 → near the MA50 line.
-
$2.42–$2.46 → recent highs.
-
$2.50 → major round number and where your call gains value fast.
-
3) Moving averages (what each is telling you)
-
MA10 (fast/blue) = short-term trend.
-
It’s now close to price and slightly curling up.
-
If price stays above MA10, short-term momentum is improving.
-
-
MA50 (slower/red) = medium trend & “dynamic” resistance.
-
It’s still sloping down and sits just above price (~$2.34–$2.36).
-
A clean break and hold above MA50 is your first bullish confirmation.
-
-
MA200 (long-term/gray) = big trend line.
-
It’s hidden on your screenshot. On a daily chart, use it to judge the long trend:
-
Price above MA200 = long-term bullish bias;
-
Below = long-term bearish bias.
-
-
4) Momentum checks (quick read)
-
RSI(14) sits around the middle (not overbought/oversold) → room to move either way.
-
MACD(12,26,9) is near the zero line with a small uptick → early/neutral-to-slightly-bullish momentum.
5) How to use this for your $2 call
-
Your breakeven ≈ $2.30 (strike $2.00 + premium $0.30).
-
Bullish path: reclaim $2.34–$2.36 (MA50) → push to $2.42–$2.46 → test $2.50.
-
As price climbs through those levels, your option premium should increase.
-
-
Risk path: lose $2.28–$2.30
→ likely retest $2.21–$2.23 or lower;
option premium shrinks quickly (time decay).
6) Simple trading plan template (if you want it)
-
If price breaks and holds above MA50 on strong volume, consider selling part of your option at a target (e.g., $0.55–$0.65 premium).
-
If price fails and drops under $2.28, decide in advance whether you’ll:
-
Exit to limit loss, or
-
Hold only if you expect a bounce from $2.21–$2.23 soon.
-
-
You can place a GTC limit-sell on the option at your target so it fills if price spikes.
No comments:
Post a Comment